Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Important New IRA Rules

Starting January 1, 2010 the qualifying income limits that have prevented many individuals from converting a traditional IRA or employer-sponsored retirement plan to a Roth will be eliminated. The change is one of the most important on the IRA landscape in years. The question most frequently asked is, “should I convert my traditional IRA to a Roth IRA?”

There is no simple answer but there are several important considerations.
First there is the fact that there is little to no advantage to doing a Roth IRA conversion if you have to withdraw money to pay the resulting income tax from other retirement plan assets.

Moreover, conversion to a Roth IRA should be account balance neutral (see the table below for a sample illustration).



And yet there may be several reasons to consider conversion. At RKM we have the capacity to run the numbers to assist you in making the right choice.

+ When rates are going down the conversion likely makes no sense.
+ When interest rates are going up the conversion is more likely to make sense.
+ Conversions are likely better for the person who doesn’t need to live off the funds. There are no required distributions associated with a Roth IRA. With traditional IRAs, you must begin tapping your account after reaching age 70½. In doing so, you increase your taxable income starting in your 70’s.
+ Conversions are generally better for a person that has other funds to pay the taxes. Paying taxes with IRA assets defeats the purpose.
+ Conversions for a couple may make sense.
+ Conversions for a person with an estate tax issues will make more sense than for a person without. Your estate ends up with a higher percentage in tax-favorable retirement plans.
+ Conversions to leave a Roth IRA to grandchildren often have merit. Because Roth IRA owners are not subject to required minimum distribution rules the assets in the account continue to grow tax-free. And over a period of years this growth can be exponential. Although Roth beneficiaries are required to take distributions each year the withdrawals are tax-free. Making the Roth a great retirement asset for which to transfer the greatest amount of wealth.
+ Conversions for a person with net operating losses or other loss carry-forwards can make sense. In order to realize this favorable tax attribute there is the option of using a Roth IRA conversion to “offset” the loss or carry-forward.
+ Triggering large capital gains to pay the income tax on the Roth IRA conversion, one essentially loses tax deferral that might otherwise normally occur in a portfolio – this may make a conversion to costly.
+ A person who will need the money in retirement will need to withdraw less from a Roth IRA, because they won't need to cover the tax liability. This leaves more money in the account and leaving more in the account can be a great comfort during retirement and adding a tax-free account gives you the most flexibility to keep taxes low in retirement.

Who Qualifies?

Individuals whose modified adjusted gross income for 2009 is $120,000 or more can’t contribute. For couples who file joint tax returns, the cutoff is $176,000.You can’t convert traditional IRA assets to a Roth if your household’s modified adjusted gross income exceeds $100,000. A married person who files a separate tax return is prohibited from converting—no matter how what their income level. While the income limits for funding a Roth will remain, the rules for conversions are about to change.

As part of the Tax Increase Prevention and Reconciliation Act, the federal government is eliminating permanently, the $100,000 income limit for Roth conversions, as well as the restriction on spouses who file separate tax returns. The changes also should allow more retirees—who rolled over their holdings from 401(k)’s and other workplace savings plans into IRAs—to convert to Roth IRA’s.

When you convert assets from a traditional IRA or workplace plan to a Roth, you have to pay income tax on all pretax contributions and earnings included in the amount you convert. However, you may either report the amount you convert in 2010 on your tax return for that year or spread the amount converted equally across your 2011 and 2012 tax returns, paying any resulting tax in those years. The two-year option is a one-time offer for 2010 conversions.

If you are age 70½ or older and taking required minimum distributions from a traditional IRA or workplace plan, you can convert remaining traditional IRA assets to a Roth.

If you hold traditional IRAs made up largely of pretax contributions, such as a 401(k) rollover, your tax bill could be steep. One way to mitigate the tax-bill pain is to get your tax advisor to help you figure out how much you could convert within your current tax bracket each year without bumping yourself into a higher one. Interestingly, the new rules come at a time when many IRAs have significantly declined in value, meaning the taxes on such conversions will likely be lower, as well. And with taxes expected to rise in coming years, the idea of an account that’s safe from tax increases may appeal to you.

If you expect your income to be lower in retirement—and tax rates to stay about where they are—then a Roth conversion might not make sense. Whether you convert or not basically depends on what you expect to happen with your income in retirement, compared with your income while working, and whether you’re more comfortable paying taxes sooner at current rates or betting on lower taxes later.

First Things First

First look at past tax returns you have in file boxes. You’re supposed to keep a running record of nondeductible IRA contributions on IRS Form 8606 and file it with your tax return. If you haven’t done so, you can either buy back your old tax returns from the IRS, using Form 4506, or you can order a free transcript of everything that’s reported about you to the IRS, using Form 4506-T. Included in your transcript is information from IRS Form 5498, which reports contributions you made to an IRA. Other resources are year-end statements from your IRA custodian.

Some owners of IRAs that hold variable annuities with depressed account values are planning to convert those investments to Roth IRAs as well. The current value of the underlying investments in their variable annuities has fallen below their income benefit or death benefit. In that situation, if you convert to a Roth, you’d pay tax on the lower account value—and potentially get a higher benefit in the future, tax-free.

Still, if you have a variable annuity and you’re considering a Roth conversion, make sure you value the account according to the latest IRS rules. The IRS ruled that you have to get the actual fair-market value of your account from the insurance company and use that number.

The Next Steps

Organize paperwork for any nondeductible IRA contributions you’ve made in the past. By taking that step, you should be able to come up with an estimate of how much of your potential conversion would be taxable. If you expect your 2010 income to be similar to 2009 you can look up the tax brackets at http://www.irs.gov/ to get an idea of the taxes to be paid.
It may help to consult a financial planner or tax advisor who has experience working with retirees relying on IRAs.
The tax rules governing IRAs are convoluted and obtuse. A mistake may leave you with significant unintended consequences.

Chris Blakely, CTFA 08-09


Sources: The Wall Street Journal, IRS.gov, rothconversion.com

Friday, August 7, 2009

Out of the Frying Pan into the Other Frying Pan?


Recession Ending?

The pace of U.S. job losses slowed more than forecast last month and the unemployment rate dropped for the first time since April 2008, the clearest signs yet that the worst recession since the Great Depression is easing.
Payrolls fell by 247,000, after a 443,000 loss in June, the Labor Department said today in Washington. The jobless rate dropped to 9.4 percent from 9.5 percent.
The report stoked optimism for a recovery in the second half of 2009. While the Obama administration’s fiscal stimulus efforts are projected to have a significant impact on the economy, any rebound in hiring may be delayed as this recovery like the last may be labeled a jobless recovery. Unemployment is a lagging indicator.
We – as consumers - are by no means out of the woods, but we are moving in the right direction, many economists have revised forecasts to reflect moderate growth in the second half of 2009 and more of a pickup in 2010.
Even so, economists predict consumer spending, which accounts for 70 percent of the economy, will be slow to gain speed. Wages and salaries fell 4.7 percent in the 12 months through June, the biggest drop since records began in 1960, according to Commerce Department data issued this week.

Tax Increases?

The current administration recently raised its estimate for this year’s federal deficit by 5 percent to a record $1.84 trillion as the recession reduces tax receipts and increases the costs of propping up the economy. U.S. consumer prices may rise from 2 to 4 percent in 2010, according to economists in a Bloomberg News survey, and may head higher from there.
On August 2, 2009, on ABC's This Week, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner refused to rule out middle class tax hikes in an interview with George Stephanopoulos. Following is some of the exchange from the show:
George: "I know you believe that passing health care is central for getting the deficit under control. But independent analysts say even with that you are going to need to find new government revenues. The former deputy Treasury Secretary Roger Altman said it is no longer a matter of whether tax revenues should increase but how. Is he right?"
Tim Geithner: "George, it is absolutely right and very important for everyone to understand we will not get this economy back on track, recovery will not be strong enough to sustain unless we can convince the American people that we're going to have the will to bring these deficits down once recovery is firmly established."
The U.S. Treasury expects the U.S. national debt to bump up against the debt ceiling of $12.1 trillion (yes that’s trillion with 15 zeros) in the final quarter of 2009. One way to bring down deficits is to raise taxes.

Monetary Policy as the Economy Recovers

From the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Monetary Report to Congress (July 21, 2009):
At present, the focus of monetary policy is on stimulating economic activity in order to limit the degree to which the economy falls short of full employment and to prevent a sustained decline in inflation below levels consistent with the Federal Reserve's legislated objectives. Economic conditions are likely to warrant accommodative monetary policy for an extended period. At some point, however, economic recovery will take hold, labor market conditions will improve, and the downward pressures on inflation will diminish. When this process has advanced sufficiently, the stance of policy will need to be tightened to prevent inflation from rising above levels consistent with price stability and to keep economic activity near its maximum sustainable level. The FOMC is confident that it has the necessary tools to withdraw policy accommodation, when such action becomes appropriate, in a smooth and timely manner.
In short, the Federal Reserve has a wide range of tools that can be used to tighten the stance of monetary policy at the point that the economic outlook calls for such action. However, economic conditions are not likely to warrant a tightening of monetary policy for an extended period. The timing and pace of any future tightening, together with the mix of tools employed, will be calibrated to best foster the Federal Reserve's dual objectives of maximum employment and price stability.

While the Fed has done a yeoman’s job averting depression it looks as if they have given short shrift to recovery plans. Specifically on dealing with the expected inflation that heavy economic stimulus brings.
We’ve had this massive fiscal stimulus, massive monetary stimulus, and it’s hard to see how that doesn’t translate into pretty substantial inflation. Therefore, inflation-hedge securities should be in most investor’s portfolios when the economy begins to gain some traction. (Refer back to the beginning of this piece.)
A well diversified portfolio includes asset sub-classes such as agribusiness, managed timber, Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, known as TIPS, commodities, energy and others. These mostly real assets have historically done well in inflationary environments.

CPB, August 2009

Sources: Bloomberg LP, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve